Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 14.479164 16.506874 18.675590 21.163000 23.932213 26.915525 30.367644
2024-10-27 11.074674 13.711868 16.731769 20.428021 24.811126 29.823040 35.966699
2024-11-03 9.443595 12.593365 16.426025 21.390822 27.605242 35.076565 44.682730
2024-11-10 8.585036 12.245233 16.948292 23.353212 31.755386 42.299355 56.412999
2024-11-17 7.566893 11.515914 16.860754 24.490154 34.943131 48.584574 67.520203
2024-11-24 6.395539 10.381364 16.059247 24.542462 36.658770 53.067083 76.630484
2024-12-01 5.277846 9.136118 14.917231 23.947156 37.370061 56.197868 84.112888
2024-12-08 4.501587 8.279360 14.213343 23.869245 38.753819 60.302163 93.172485
2024-12-15 3.956199 7.700804 13.845630 24.226305 40.763029 65.390640 103.919397
2024-12-22 3.400690 7.010736 13.200534 24.052928 41.907817 69.240240 113.055001
2024-12-29 3.162752 6.846713 13.401517 25.255711 45.285604 76.646605 127.925751
2025-01-05 2.815495 6.419774 13.088020 25.543760 47.178033 81.843511 139.682861
2025-01-12 2.357382 5.710590 12.200387 24.779011 47.318301 84.383037 147.633512
2025-01-19 1.950720 5.030401 11.272038 23.829816 47.043976 86.212767 154.551176
2025-01-26 1.812335 4.906501 11.404344 24.855108 50.312400 94.102116 171.774561
2025-02-02 1.796136 5.058170 12.107201 27.034144 55.817109 106.084793 196.408874
2025-02-09 1.691866 4.983228 12.329216 28.286328 59.701681 115.497358 217.195911
2025-02-16 1.498936 4.653765 11.964935 28.320061 61.294142 120.990029 231.570679
2025-02-23 1.279640 4.210447 11.287268 27.629231 61.427863 123.876554 241.554270
2025-03-02 1.129024 3.918716 10.911709 27.529724 62.692648 128.850032 255.418399
2025-03-09 1.026381 3.739730 10.774673 27.925940 64.958916 135.756381 273.013241
2025-03-16 0.903663 3.474149 10.389539 27.724673 65.980041 140.377213 286.672476
2025-03-23 0.869827 3.475977 10.675009 29.080662 70.327819 151.512291 312.743429